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Old Jamestown, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 3 Miles NNW Black Jack MO
National Weather Service Forecast for:
3 Miles NNW Black Jack MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Saint Louis, MO |
| Updated: 1:26 pm CDT Jun 4, 2026 |
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This Afternoon
 Partly Sunny
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Tonight
 Partly Cloudy
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Saturday Night
 Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Monday
 Showers Likely then T-storms
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| Hi 86 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
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This Afternoon
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Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind around 10 mph. |
Tonight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind 8 to 11 mph. |
Friday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph. |
Saturday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind around 8 mph. |
Saturday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. |
Sunday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. |
Monday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 86. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. |
Tuesday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. |
Tuesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 3 Miles NNW Black Jack MO.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
759
FXUS63 KLSX 041715
AFDLSX
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1215 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will be seasonably warm and humidity will become
increasingly summer-like today into the weekend.
- There is a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon into early evening across parts of central and
northeast Missouri. The chance for showers and storms spreads to
much of the area Saturday, but Sunday through Tuesday will see
the highest likelihood for rain.
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Through Late Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
A mid-upper level short wave will move from the Plains into western
Missouri today. There is a weak low level reflection of the wave
over the Great Plains this morning, and the tightening pressure
gradient between it and the sprawling high over the eastern U.S.
will produce increasing southerly flow across the Mid Mississippi
Valley today. The southerly flow will bring increasing amounts of
low level moisture back to the region today, and the wave aloft will
produce broad synoptic scale lift over the eastern Plains into parts
of the Midwest. This will allow the convection which is ongoing
over the Plains this morning to spread east through Friday. Current
thinking is that the most if not all of the forecast area will
remain dry at least through late tonight. A few CAMs show isolated
showers over parts of central and northeast Missouri this afternoon
into early evening, so a 20 percent chance for precip seems
appropriate. Have kept the remainder of the CWA dry until late
tonight and Friday when the short wave finally moves into eastern
Missouri and Illinois. Even so, models are not showing the presence
of any synoptic scale low level focusing mechanisms on Friday, so
areal coverage of convection looks scattered at best. CAMs agree
with this idea so have limited PoPs to 20-40 percent through Friday
afternoon in most locations. The deterministic RAP and GFS as well
as the HREF And REFS ensembles show CAPE values exceeding 2000 J/Kg
across northeast Missouri into west central Illinois Friday
afternoon, however deep-layer shear values generally do not exceed
25kts. A few strong storms will therefore be possible but current
thinking is that storms will generally stay below severe thresholds.
Instability drops quickly to the southeast, and also diminishes
after sunset. The southerly flow will also help temperatures rise
a few degrees into the mid and upper 80s today and Friday,
although the increased humidity will probably be more noticeable
than the warmer temperatures.
Carney
&&
.LONG TERM... (Friday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 344 AM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
The weather will remain unsettled this weekend into next week as a
weak cold front drifts into northern Missouri Saturday, and then an
upper low moves from Texas and Oklahoma into the east central Plains
on Sunday and continues drifting northeast across the Midwest Monday
into Tuesday. The front on Saturday will provide a low level focus
for convection during the afternoon. However, short wave ridging
ahead of the upstream upper low will produce decent over the area
which may have a limiting effect on convective development.
Additionally, the position of the front is uncertain and may stay
farther north across Iowa and northern Illinois. These uncertainties
yield only a 20-30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms
Saturday.
The best chance for rain through the period will be Sunday through
Tuesday as the upper level trough moves from the Plains across the
Midwest. Models suggest that convection will flare up each
afternoon due to daytime heating and broad synoptic scale lift
provided by the wave. Despite CAPE values exceeding 2500 J/Kg at
times during this period, 0-6km shear remains below 30kts, and
doesen`t even exceed 15kts at times. While current indications are
that thunderstorms are likely Sunday through Tuesday, and that some
could be strong due to the relatively high instability, the lack of
strong shear should limit the threat for severe storms. Temperatures
through the period will feel very summer-like with highs in the
upper 80s to low 90s and lows generally in the mid 60s to low 70s.
Carney
&&
.AVIATION... (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2026
Largely dry and VFR flight conditions will continue through tonight,
aside from a stray shower or thunderstorm in central/northeastern MO
late this afternoon/evening. However, confidence in impacts at KCOU
or KJEF is too low to mention. There is higher confidence in showers
and thunderstorms entering northeastern MO/west-central IL Friday
morning, with impacts most likely at KUIN. Elsewhere, confidence is
much lower at this time due to lower expected coverage.
Pfahler
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&
$$
WFO LSX
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